Sunday, October 4, 2009

Pneumonia vaccine and swine flu

Many of those with serious complications or who have died from the current swine flu H1N1 seem to have had coinfections.

One common coinfection has been with pneumococcal bacteria.

There is a vaccine available for this. It has been available for 20 years and is standard for those 65 or over and for those with health problems.

Thursday, October 1, 2009

John Sutter

In the spring of '47
So the story, it is told
Old John Sutter went to the mill site
Found a piece of shinin' gold

Well, he took it to the city
Where the word like wildfire spread
And old John Sutter soon came to wish he'd
Left that stone in the river bed

Photograph of John Sutter


















Tuesday, September 29, 2009

glutinous is different from gluten


Glutinous rice does not contain dietary gluten (i.e. does not contain glutenin and gliadin), and thus should be safe for gluten-free diets. What distinguishes it from other types of rice is having no (or negligible amounts of) amylose, and high amounts of amylopectin (those are the two components of starch). Amylopectin is responsible for the sticky quality of glutinous rice.

glutinous rice = sticky rice (that does not contain gluten)
gluten = elastic protein material, especially of wheat flour, that gives cohesiveness to dough

Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Newark, N.J., Mayor Cory Booker says


That's funny. I said exactly the same thing 25 years ago, and people said, "No, this is normal. Everywhere is like this."

Having lived elsewhere for 40 years, I can now assure them that, no, it is not normal.

Could turning plants upside down make them grow five times better?

http://www.treehugger.com/files/2009/09/omega-hydroponic-vertical-garden.php

What English would sound like to a nonnative speaker

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yAA_qbiOQ5k

Resource depletion as a predator-prey interaction


This is a really interesting idea.

There is also the increasing energy necessary to extract the oil, which was 1 : 1,000,000 in 1860 and is now 1 : 15.



Let's go back to whaling in 19th century; at that time the main problem related to killing whales was finding one. Once it was found, killing it and making whale oil out of it was a relatively quick process. In the case of crude oil, instead, the length of delay between discovering a field and getting oil out of it often amounts to several years. But, the main point is discovery: once a field is discovered, it will be put into production at some point--that's almost automatic. So, prospecting for oil is the main "predation" activity, and also the most expensive one. So, the production parameter in the model is the amount of oil found , not the produced oil. At that point, you can think that a measure of the effort (the capital) placed into prospection is the number of wildcats drilled. Once we found this idea, it was bingo again. The relationship of predator to prey was there, although it was not as good as for whaling. Here are the results for the US 48 lower states (the case studied by Hubbert).

Maybe I am seeing ghosts created by my own mind, but I tend to see many things that I have done in my life in these terms. I see it even with the research grants for my lab, at the university of Florence. Despite having stepped up our efforts, we are getting less and less money to run the lab. "Peak grants" has taken place a few years ago and my lab is being destroyed by the same mechanism that, long ago, brought down the Roman Empire.

1. There exists a non renewable or slowly renewable resource which is limited in amount and "graded" in costs of extraction/production.

2. People will extract/produce first the low cost resource and will re-invest an approximately constant fraction of their profits in more facilities for extraction/production. This is the positive feedback that generates the rapid initial growth of the curve

3. As the resource is consumed, increasing costs of production reduce profits and - as a consequence - investments in extraction/production. This is the negative feedback that generates the decline.


Tuesday, September 22, 2009

Everything most people "know" about Columbine is wrong


It wasn't supposed to be a shooting; it was supposed to be a bombing.


"The book gained considerable media attention for dispelling the Columbine myths ... the massacre had nothing to do with jocks, Goths, Marilyn Manson or the Trench Coat Mafia. In fact, it was not intended primarily as a school shooting, but as a bombing. Cullen reports that Harris and Klebold intended to perpetrate the worst terrorist attack in American history. The book garnered glowing reviews from Time, Newsweek, People, The New York Observer, and The New York Times Book Review. One of the few dissenting views came from Janet Maslin."



The miracle of compound interest

$100 compounded at 7% for 200 years is more than $100 million, by which time it will be worth nothing.

We were so absorbed in our own problems that we did not even notice this

Absolute must-see.

After a few minutes, you will say to yourself: Hmm... huge foreign debt, bank collapse... why does this sound familiar?

How the crash is rewriting investment rules

They said we would get 8% return on investment in our pension plans... Ha! Madoff level returns.

Now they say 4%.

I think we will be lucky to get 1% because the last 30 years of "normal" growth required 10 dollar a barrel oil, and we will never see that again.

Scientific American is hosting videos

They are quite good at piquing your interest.

If you had the Swine Flu vaccine in 1976

You may have some immunity to the current H1N1 Swine Flu.

Term of the day: EROEI

Energy Return On Energy Invested

1859
1 unit of energy invested returns 1,000,000 units of energy (wells were shallow and were gushers)

1950
1 unit of energy invested returns 100 units of energy

2010
1 unit of energy invested returns 15 units of energy

Clearly, when 1 unit of energy must be invested to return 1 unit of energy, it no longer makes sense to try to extract the energy.

Unfortunately, we may run into problems even sooner: when 1 unit of energy invested returns only 8 units of energy. We are almost there.


So it is not a matter of whether or not the oil exists, but rather whether it can be extracted and delivered for a reasonable price.

Rush says "There is 700 years of oil in the ground! There is no oil problem!"
Ayn Rand said, one can evade reality, but one cannot evade the consequences of evading reality.
I would say, "Everything seems simple to the simpleminded".

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

The crater Cabeus A1

NASA plans to crash a rocket into the Lunar crater Cabeus A1 on October 9.

The floor of the crater is in perpetual darkness, and so over the eons, some water ice may have condensed there.

The crash should shoot a plume up, and the plume will be examined to see if there is water ice.

If there is, this will be a huge discovery because it would mean we would not have to launch so much water from the Earth for a base on the Moon.

Parasite eats fish tongue and takes the place of the tongue

This is so strange, I thought it was a joke from Cracked or The Onion or something.

Zoom in on The Milky Way

http://www.gigagalaxyzoom.org/B.html

Stellar Cartography on the Enterprise is here now

http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=allosphere-ucsb

Monday, September 14, 2009

Where would the world be without the extraordinary growth in Russian oil supply this decade? Not in a good place... Russia’s near 50% oil production increase since the year 2000 did a lot of heavy lifting. And it’s concerning that this very fast growth rate has now topped out.

North American crude oil production (Canada + US + Mexico) saw, during the current decade, its highest levels in 2003 at an annual average of 11.358 Mb/day. The high month of production that year was in September, at 11.450 Mb/day. In that year, 2003, the average price of oil was 31.08. But by 2008, North American crude oil production had fallen to 10.338 Mb/day. Thus, as the price of oil went from 31.08 in 2003 to the 2008 average of 99.67, North American crude oil production lost over a million bbls a day.


Russia... has become the world's biggest exporter of oil.

Russia toppled Saudi Arabia from the number one spot. It is already the world's largest exporter of gas, and supplies around a third of the European Union's consumption.

Stiglitz says the bank problems are even WORSE now than they were

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aYdgQkXu9eBg

The many missions NASA is running now

People think NASA spends a huge amount of money, but it is a drop in the bucket, and they think it only does the shuttle, but see how many missions are currently running... you never hear about them, but they are fascinating.

Saturday, August 29, 2009

Excellent energy conservation, alternative energy blog

http://www.scientificamerican.com/blog/60-second-solar/

Physical goods replaced by representations

“The next killer app for the Internet is dematerialization.”
Bill St. Arnaud

After 10 months, contact lost with India's lunar probe



I think this is the endgame

China now produces about 90% of the rare earth metals necessary for producing computer chips, electronics, batteries, etc.

graph showing global rare earth element production
Figure 1. Global rare earth element production (1 kt=106 kg) from 1950 through 2000, in four categories: United States, almost entirely from Mountain Pass, California; China, from several deposits; all other countries combined, largely from monazite-bearing placers; and global total. Four periods of production are evident: the monazite-placer era, starting in the late 1800s and ending abruptly in 1964; the Mountain Pass era, starting in 1965 and ending about 1984; a transitional period from about 1984 to 1991; and the Chinese era, beginning about 1991.
http://pubs.usgs.gov/fs/2002/fs087-02/

They have suddenly announced that they will cease exports.

This is an endgame move.


Honey bees may have been killed by virus infections

Colony collapse disorder may have been due to infection by one or more viruses.

Actual "image" of a molecule!

http://www.popsci.com/scitech/article/2009-08/ibm-scientists-take-first-atom-atom-image-molecule

Another reason to avoid high fructose corn syrup

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/01/26/AR2009012601831.html
“Capitalism is the astounding belief that the most wickedest of men will do the most wickedest of things for the greatest good of everyone.”

John Maynard Keynes

I saw this launch in 1997

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Generations of psychologists and philosophers have believed that babies and young children were basically defective adults — irrational, egocentric and unable to think logically.

Huh? That is the adults!

Hell is the impossibility of reason

How do they train themselves to be so impervious to reality? It begins, I suspect, with religion. They are taught from a young age that it is good to have "faith" – which is, by definition, a belief without any evidence to back it up. You don't have "faith" that Australia exists, or that fire burns: you have evidence. You only need "faith" to believe the untrue or unprovable. Indeed, they are taught that faith is the highest aspiration and most noble cause. Is it any surprise this then percolates into their political views? Faith-based thinking spreads and contaminates the rational.

Saturday, August 8, 2009

It's a Holodeck!!!


10-hour 4-day work week cuts energy use 13%

http://www.grist.org/article/2009-08-07-is-a-4-day-workweek-inevitable-utah-cuts-energy-use-13/

Confabulation getting worse

As things become more complicated by the day, one unanticipated effect that I am noticing with increasing frequency is an explosion of confabulation.

People do not actually bother to read a book or magazine article, but can go on for hours making up a plausible story about things they have never seen, people they have never met, and situations in which they have never been.

Saving energy can be be better than free

The perfect is the enemy of the good.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124959929532112633.html

There are times when saving energy seems like a pie-in-the-sky expensive burden, but it really need not be so. In fact, it can be the best investment you can make.

In 1981, we installed a solar water heater for a total cost in current dollars of about 5,000 dollars. That has saved 30,000 dollars in electricity so far, and the unit is still working.

When it came time to reroof four years ago, instead of the usual tar paper shingle job that would have cost 25,000 dollars, we had an elastomeric coating applied that cost 12,000. That did not cost more money, it cost less... for something that had to be done.

The elastomeric coating has titanium oxide ceramic particles in it that reflect heat, so the roof does heat up, and the house is cool and comfortable without air conditioning. The test: If it is uncomfortably hot inside your house, but it is comfortable outside your house, the problem is the house... it is heating up. All you need to do is block the heat from entering to begin with.

Yes, LED lights are way too expensive and are not quite ready for prime time, but the warm white compact fluorescents are only a few dollars and work well. A 60 watt incandescent spotlight was replaced with an 11 watt compact fluorescent spotlight. Buy one and try it.

The point is, none of this cost more money, it cost less.

The solar water heater cuts about 1,000 dollars per year off the electric bill, for a return on the original 5,000 dollar investment of 20% per year.

The elastomeric roof saves 600 dollars per year.
A conventional roof would be 25,000 twice over 50 years, which would be 50,000 dollars over 50 years.
An elastomeric one is 12,000 the first time, and 2,000 every ten years for a pressure washing and touch up coat, which would be 20,000 dollars over 50 years. And that is not even taking into account the energy savings in reduced air conditioning costs. You would need a smaller air conditioning system, or none at all, and would use less electricity running it.
The difference is 30,000 dollars.

Over 50 years, doing these two things basically costs 80,000 dollars less to get the same thing... actually, something better. You would have to earn 160,000 dollars, and pay taxes of let's say about half, if you had an electric water heater and a regular roof instead of a solar water heater and an elastomeric roof, just to get the same thing.

So while I hope the Rocky Mountain Institute continues to make cutting edge breakthroughs in energy efficiency, and I am sure those advances will slowly trickle down to us all, in the meantime, there is a lot that can be done that is not unbelievably expensive but is in fact much cheaper.




Thursday, August 6, 2009

Plants potted in peat moss may need to be repotted

It seems that some plants sold potted in peat moss may need to be repotted soon... some peat moss is treated with a chemical, and after a few months, the chemical is gone, and the peat moss turns into a sour anaerobic mess. I have had this happen, so I usually pull off most of the peat moss and repot in proper potting soil, preferably with a lot of crushed hardwood charcoal in it.

Wednesday, August 5, 2009

The purpose of the spleen

Very often, when an organ seems to be useless, it probably is under most circumstances. However, they may be a matter of life or death in certain circumstances encountered only rarely. For example, the appendix seems to be a reservoir for gut bacteria, which can be wiped out from time to time.

Researchers have now shown that the spleen is a reservoir for immune system cells called monocytes, and that in the event of serious trauma like a heart attack, gashing wound, or microbial invasion, the spleen will disgorge the monocytes into the bloodstream to tackle the crisis.

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/08/04/science/04angier.html?_r=1&em


Monday, August 3, 2009

Happiest, sweetest walk down the aisle ever

Effort can sometimes trump ability

“We tell ourselves that skill is the precious resource and effort is the commodity. It’s the other way around. Effort can trump ability because relentless effort is in fact something rarer that the ability to engage in some finely tuned act...”

How David Beats Goliath: When underdogs break the rules
Malcolm Gladwell

Population bombs... better get nearly free energy quickly

Also, they concluded that there is hardly any problem confronting America whose solution would be easier with a larger population. Moving toward population stabilizationwould contribute significantly to America’s ability to solve its domestic problems as well as many of those abroad, especially energy and resource consumption, climate change and environmental sustainability. Moreover, without U.S. leadership as demonstrated by domestic efforts to stabilize its population and thereby mitigate further damage to the environment, other nations would be reluctant to adopt policies and practices to stabilize their populations and work toward developmental and ecological sustainability.







What’s more interesting is that the overall number, whatever you choose, could be a red herring. Many population experts foresee the next few decades evolving in a way that is very different from the global-scale, catastrophic “population bomb” concept that caught hold in the 1960s.

What they depict is more like a dangerous scattering of cluster bombs, as the world splits into two types of countries: those with aging, shrinking populations, like Japan and much of Europe, and those regions, like most of Africa and parts of south Asia, still mired in poverty, disease, illiteracy or government dysfunction with resulting high birth and death rates.

http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2007/10/25/the-population-cluster-bomb/

Lightship!

This is really amazing. A little model propelled into the sky by pulses of laser light!


RPI Prof Leik Myrabo Lightcraft Research

Sunday, August 2, 2009

Ant mimicking spiders

I just had what I thought was a tiny ant fall off an orchid plant... I thought it was behaving strangely for an ant... and then it let itself down by silk and I realized it was a spider that really looked like a small black ant!


Behavior controlled biochemically to astonishing specificity

Spore biochemically controlling brain of ant:
Look for a vein on the underside of a leaf on the north side of the plant about 10 inches off the ground with 95% humidity and with a temperature of 70 to 90 degrees F, then chomp down on the vein in a death grip, and die.

They are not stupid; they are lying shills

"WE'VE got healthcare that is better than anywhere else in the world," boasted conservative US pundit Rush Limbaugh in an interview with Fox News on 23 July. Many politicians have been echoing this claim in recent days, as Congress debates reforming the nation's healthcare. Sadly, it is not true.

Anyone who believes them deserves what they get. Some people are just genetically stupid, and there is nothing you can do about them, so just give up and don't waste your time.




Right answer, wrong question

How can I reduce my risk of skin cancer? Don't expose yourself to the Sun or tanning beds.

This is the correct answer to the wrong question.

The right question is: How can I reduce my risk of dying?
The answer is: Expose yourself to the Sun or tanning beds for about 15 minutes at least once a week because it will produce Vitamin D and Vitamin D will reduce your risk of dying of cardiovascular diseases and other cancers.

Or take a Vitamin D supplement. People seem terrified of overdosing, but that is very difficult to do. What is in a pill does not come near to the amount produced by going to the beach, and there is no risk of skin cancer. I like sardines and yard work.



The 1,000 iu is reasonable.



Everything on the Net needs to be named rationally and dated

A decade ago, when you read something, it was usually pretty clear that it was recent. Now we have no idea. Every single post or file needs to have, if possible, a rational name rather than a string of nonsense letters, and needs to have a date!

Why does food in a can not spoil?

Many people think that food in a can does not spoil because there is no air in the can. This is not correct.

There is in fact air in cans when you open them.

The reason the food does not spoil is because it is sterile inside the can; that is, there are no living bacteria, fungi, or other organisms inside the sealed can. This is why even a pinprick hole will cause the can to spoil. It is not because air got inside, but because living organisms got inside.

Disturbingly, I have met professors teaching biology at universities who do not know this. This is explained in every introductory biology textbook.
(Economists: "What bubble? Markets are perfectly rational." People really are this incompetent and do not know basic things in their own fields.)

This is also the subject of a truly elegant experiment by Pasteur using swan-necked flasks with broth inside. The necks are very long, and the end points down and is open, but there is no way for bacteria or fungus spores to move up the neck against gravity. Although the soup inside has been exposed to the open air, since no living organisms could get to the broth, the broth was still sterile after years. If the neck were broken or microorganisms got in by other means such as being carried in by an insect, the broth would immediately start to spoil.
Air: Yes. Living organisms: No; food does not spoil.
Air: Yes. Living organisms: Yes; food spoils.


He exposed boiled broths to air in vessels that contained a filter to prevent all particles from passing through to the growth medium, and even in vessels with no filter at all, with air being admitted via a long tortuous tube that would not allow dust particles to pass. Nothing grew in the broths unless the flasks were broken open; therefore, the living organisms that grew in such broths came from outside, as spores on dust, rather than spontaneously generated within the broth. This was one of the last and most important experiments disproving the theory of spontaneous generation. The experiment also supported germ theory.[8]

Betelgeuse may go supernova!

Since it is 640 light years away, maybe it has already gone supernova!


It is possible that Betelgeuse will become a supernova, [4][23] which will be the brightest ever recorded, outshining the Moon in the night sky.[23] Considering its size and age of 8.5 million years, old for its size class, it may explode within the next thousand years.[23] Since its rotational axis is not toward the Earth and also because of its 640 light year distance,[23] Betelgeuse's supernova will not cause a gamma ray burst in the direction of Earth large enough to damage its ecosystem.

Nobel Laureate Charles Townes announced evidence that 15 consecutive years of stellar contraction has been observed by UC Berkeley's Infrared Spatial Interferometer (ISI) atop Mt. Wilson Observatory in Southern California. Reported on June 9, 2009, the star has shrunk 15% since 1993 with an increasing rate. The average speed at which the radius of the star is shrinking over the last 15 years is approximately 210 - 219 m/s (470-490 mph).[24]

According to the university, Betelgeuse's radius is about 5.5 A.U.s, and the star's radius has shrunk by a distance equal to half an astronomical unit, or about the orbit of Venus.[25] Some theorists[who?] have speculated that this behavior is expected for a star at the beginning of the gravitational collapse at the end of its life.[citation needed] The mass of Betelgeuse puts it in range to become a neutron star or possibly a black hole.


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Betelgeuse

Friday, July 31, 2009

If you are thinking about buying a TV, wait just a little while if you can

They are about to get a whole lot thinner, cheaper, and more energy efficient by switching to LED backlighting.

http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-led-tv30-2009jul30,0,4224051.story